Polymarket

CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40%+ at 39%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% at 39%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $146 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 40%+ 39%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$146
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrat 40%+39%
  2. Democrat 15-20%39%▲ 29
  3. Democrat 35-40%38%
  4. Democrat 30-35%38%
  5. Democrat 25-30%38%
  6. Democrat 20-25%38%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:34 AM10:34 PM10:34 AM39% Democrat 40%+

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40%+. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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