Kalshi

California Governor margin of victory

California Governor

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Democrats, 12+ pts at 79%, ahead of Democrats, 15+ pts at 67%. $557 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.

Favorite
Democrats, 12+ pts 79%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$557
Traded in all
$1K
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrats, 12+ pts79%
  2. Democrats, 15+ pts67%▼ 14
  3. Democrats, 18+ pts59%
  4. Democrats, 24+ pts37%▼ 30
  5. Democrats, 27+ pts26%
  6. Democrats, 30+ pts18%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:55 AM9:55 PM9:55 AM79% Democrats, 12+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Democrats, 12+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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