Kalshi
California Governor margin of victory
California Governor
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Democrats, 12+ pts at 79%, ahead of Democrats, 15+ pts at 67%. $557 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrats, 12+ pts 79%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $557
- Traded in all
- $1K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrats, 12+ pts79%
- Democrats, 15+ pts67%▼ 14
- Democrats, 18+ pts59%
- Democrats, 24+ pts37%▼ 30
- Democrats, 27+ pts26%
- Democrats, 30+ pts18%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:55 AM9:55 PM9:55 AM79% Democrats, 12+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Democrats, 12+ pts. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.