Kalshi
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
On Nov 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor No, ≥1% at 60%, ahead of No, ≥16% at 50%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.
- Favorite
- No, ≥1% 60%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $16K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- No, ≥1%60%
- No, ≥16%50%
- No, ≥19%50%
- No, ≥13%49%
- No, ≥10%41%
- No, ≥4%30%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:09 AM9:09 PM9:09 AM60% No, ≥1%
The line follows the current favorite, No, ≥1%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
