Kalshi
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
On Nov 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Yes, ≥1% at 44%, ahead of Yes, ≥4% at 23%. $1 traded in the last 24 hours, $17K in all.
- Favorite
- Yes, ≥1% 44%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $1
- Traded in all
- $17K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Yes, ≥1%44%
- Yes, ≥4%23%▲ 3
- Yes, ≥7%20%
- Yes, ≥10%10%
- Yes, ≥13%10%
- Yes, ≥16%6%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:18 AM7:18 PM7:18 AM44% Yes, ≥1%
The line follows the current favorite, Yes, ≥1%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More other elections markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 60%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 97%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 90%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 59%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 70%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
