Kalshi

Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?

Before Sep 24, 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Chris Thomas at 38%, ahead of Jane Poole-Wilson at 28%. $326 traded in the last 24 hours, $40K in all.

Favorite
Chris Thomas 38%
24 hours
up 7 pts
Traded today
$326
Traded in all
$40K
Closes
September 24, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Chris Thomas38%▲ 7
  2. Jane Poole-Wilson28%▲ 5
  3. Alfred Cannan27%
  4. Rob Callister9%
  5. Lawrie Hooper2%
  6. Tim Johnston2%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:19 AM7:19 PM7:19 AM38% Chris Thomas

The line follows the current favorite, Chris Thomas. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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