Polymarket
Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-20% at 38%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 31%. $159 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 15-20% 38%
- 24 hours
- up 5 pts
- Traded today
- $159
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 15-20%38%▲ 5
- Democrat 20-25%31%▲ 7
- Republican Wins18%▲ 16
- Democrat 10-15%16%▲ 2
- Democrat 25-30%12%▼ 1
- Democrat 5-10%7%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:28 AM5:28 PM5:28 AM38% Democrat 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.