Polymarket
CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 34%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 28%. $168 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 30-35% 34%
- 24 hours
- down 4 pts
- Traded today
- $168
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 30-35%34%▼ 4
- Democrat 35-40%28%▼ 2
- Democrat 40-45%20%▲ 2
- Democrat 25-30%13%▲ 1
- Democrat 45-50%10%▼ 1
- Democrat 20-25%4%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:40 AM10:40 PM10:40 AM34% Democrat 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
