Polymarket
CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 34%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 20%. $73 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 25-30% 34%
- 24 hours
- down 4 pts
- Traded today
- $73
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 25-30%34%▼ 4
- Democrat 30-35%20%▲ 1
- Democrat 20-25%18%▲ 2
- Democrat 15-20%16%▲ 1
- Democrat 35%+6%
- Democrat 5-10%4%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:43 AM3:43 PM3:43 AM34% Democrat 25-30%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
