Polymarket
CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 35%+ at 27%. $11 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 30-35% 31%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $11
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 30-35%31%▼ 1
- Democrat 35%+27%▲ 4
- Democrat 25-30%17%▼ 3
- Democrat 20-25%17%
- Democrat 10-15%9%▲ 3
- Democrat 15-20%5%▼ 2
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:04 AM9:04 PM9:04 AM31% Democrat 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
