Polymarket
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 32%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 24%. $92 traded in the last 24 hours, $17K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 32%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $92
- Traded in all
- $17K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 35-40%32%
- Democrat 30-35%24%▲ 1
- Democrat 25-30%20%
- Democrat 40-45%11%▲ 1
- Democrat 45-50%7%▼ 1
- Democrat 20-25%6%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:40 AM10:40 PM10:40 AM32% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
