Polymarket
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Jon Ossoff at 43%, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 33%. $5K traded in the last 24 hours, $35K in all.
- Favorite
- Jon Ossoff 43%
- 24 hours
- down 15 pts
- Traded today
- $5K
- Traded in all
- $35K
- Closes
- October 31, 2026
Every outcome
- Jon Ossoff43%▼ 15
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez33%▲ 8
- Gavin Newsom19%▲ 11
- Kamala Harris1%
- Josh Shapiro<1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:27 AM7:27 PM7:27 AM43% Jon Ossoff
The line follows the current favorite, Jon Ossoff. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 77%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 39%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
