Kalshi
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
Before Jan 3, 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Texas at 37%, ahead of Kansas at 19%. $10K traded in the last 24 hours, $131K in all.
- Favorite
- Texas 37%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $10K
- Traded in all
- $131K
- Closes
- January 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 16)
- Texas37%
- Kansas19%▲ 1
- Alaska13%▲ 5
- North Carolina12%▲ 12
- South Carolina9%
- Iowa6%
10 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:41 AM3:41 PM3:41 AM37% Texas
The line follows the current favorite, Texas. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 76%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
- Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 30% 56%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
