Kalshi
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
On Feb 1, 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Below 193 at 28%, ahead of 198-202 at 16%. $26K traded in the last 24 hours, $3.6M in all.
- Favorite
- Below 193 28%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $26K
- Traded in all
- $3.6M
- Closes
- February 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 11)
- Below 19328%▼ 1
- 198-20216%
- 193-19714%▲ 1
- 203-20714%▲ 1
- 208-2129%▼ 1
- 213-2176%▲ 1
5 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:49 AM10:49 PM10:49 AM28% Below 193
The line follows the current favorite, Below 193. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 87%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 38%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 27%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 47%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
