Polymarket

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor ↓ 30% at 56%, ahead of ↑ 40% at 36%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $47K in all.

Favorite
↓ 30% 56%
24 hours
up 12 pts
Traded today
$4K
Traded in all
$47K
Closes
November 1, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 7)

  1. ↓ 30%56%▲ 12
  2. ↑ 40%36%
  3. ↓ 25%26%▲ 9
  4. ↑ 45%18%▲ 1
  5. ↑ 50%13%
  6. ↑ 55%1%

1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:37 AM3:37 PM3:37 AM56% ↓ 30%

The line follows the current favorite, ↓ 30%. One reading an hour.

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