Polymarket

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Michigan at 44%, ahead of Maine at 19%. $407 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Michigan 44%
24 hours
up 3 pts
Traded today
$407
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome

  1. Michigan44%▲ 3
  2. Maine19%▼ 4
  3. Texas14%▲ 4
  4. Ohio 14%▲ 1
  5. Alaska11%▲ 6
  6. Iowa6%▲ 3

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:38 AM6:38 PM6:38 AM44% Michigan

The line follows the current favorite, Michigan. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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