Polymarket
Fed Decision in January?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor No change at 65%, ahead of 25 bps increase at 32%. $9K traded in the last 24 hours, $217K in all.
- Favorite
- No change 65%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $9K
- Traded in all
- $217K
- Closes
- January 28, 2027
Every outcome
- No change65%
- 25 bps increase32%
- 50+ bps increase3%▲ 2
- 25 bps decrease3%
- 50+ bps decrease1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:15 AM5:15 PM5:15 AM65% No change
The line follows the current favorite, No change. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
