Polymarket

FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 6-9% at 24%, ahead of Republican 9-12% at 23%. $124 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Republican 6-9% 24%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$124
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 6-9%24%
  2. Republican 9-12%23%▼ 1
  3. Republican 3-6%19%▲ 4
  4. Republican 12-15%14%▲ 1
  5. Republican 15-18%9%▼ 4
  6. Democrat 0-3%7%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:03 AM9:03 PM9:03 AM24% Republican 6-9%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 6-9%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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