Kalshi

French presidential election: who will advance?

Apr 18, 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Marine Le Pen at 84%, ahead of Édouard Philippe at 41%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.

Favorite
Marine Le Pen 84%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$60
Traded in all
$2K
Closes
April 17, 2028

Every outcome (top 6 of 13)

  1. Marine Le Pen84%▲ 1
  2. Édouard Philippe41%
  3. Jean-Luc Mélenchon38%
  4. Gabriel Attal15%
  5. Raphaël Glucksmann13%▲ 1
  6. Bruno Retailleau10%

7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:56 AM9:56 PM9:56 AM84% Marine Le Pen

The line follows the current favorite, Marine Le Pen. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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