Kalshi

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

for fiscal year 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above $1M at 97%, ahead of Above $10M at 39%. $12 traded in the last 24 hours, $20K in all.

Favorite
Above $1M 97%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$12
Traded in all
$20K
Closes
January 1, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Above $1M97%
  2. Above $10M39%
  3. Above $50M28%
  4. Above $100M22%▼ 2
  5. Above $500M10%
  6. Above $1B6%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%11:52 AM11:52 PM11:52 AM97% Above $1M

The line follows the current favorite, Above $1M. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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