Polymarket

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Fernando Dias da Costa at 19%, ahead of Umaro Sissoco Embaló at 15%. $10 traded in the last 24 hours, $341K in all.

Favorite
Fernando Dias da Costa 19%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$10
Traded in all
$341K
Closes
November 24, 2025

Every outcome (top 6 of 12)

  1. Fernando Dias da Costa19%
  2. Umaro Sissoco Embaló15%▲ 2
  3. José Mário Vaz2%
  4. João Bernardo Vieira2%
  5. Mamadu Iaia Djaló2%
  6. Mário da Silva Júnior2%

6 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:08 AM8:08 PM8:08 AM19% Fernando Dias da Costa

The line follows the current favorite, Fernando Dias da Costa. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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