Polymarket
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Fernando Dias da Costa at 19%, ahead of Umaro Sissoco Embaló at 15%. $10 traded in the last 24 hours, $341K in all.
- Favorite
- Fernando Dias da Costa 19%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $10
- Traded in all
- $341K
- Closes
- November 24, 2025
Every outcome (top 6 of 12)
- Fernando Dias da Costa19%
- Umaro Sissoco Embaló15%▲ 2
- José Mário Vaz2%
- João Bernardo Vieira2%
- Mamadu Iaia Djaló2%
- Mário da Silva Júnior2%
6 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:08 AM8:08 PM8:08 AM19% Fernando Dias da Costa
The line follows the current favorite, Fernando Dias da Costa. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.