Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Green, 14+ pts at 98%, ahead of Green, 17+ pts at 98%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.

Favorite: Green, 14+ pts 98%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $1K
Closes: November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

Green, 14+ pts98%
Green, 17+ pts98%
Green, 20+ pts97%
Green, 23+ pts97%
Green, 26+ pts92%
Green, 29+ pts88%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:27 AM5:27 PM5:27 AM98% Green, 14+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Green, 14+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.