Polymarket
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 26%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 21%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 40-45% 26%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 40-45%26%
- Democrat 35-40%21%
- Democrat 30-35%16%▲ 1
- Democrat 45-50%9%
- Democrat 50%+6%
- Democrat 20-25%6%▲ 3
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:54 AM9:54 PM9:54 AM26% Democrat 40-45%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
