Kalshi
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
On Oct 8, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Reform UK at 45%, ahead of Conservative Party at 35%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $44K in all.
- Favorite
- Reform UK 45%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $44K
- Closes
- October 8, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 15)
- Reform UK45%
- Conservative Party35%
- Liberal Democrats14%
- Workers Party7%
- Tom Darwood1%
- Restore Britain1%
9 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:31 AM10:31 PM10:31 AM45% Reform UK
The line follows the current favorite, Reform UK. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
