Polymarket
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Below 4.7% at 14%, ahead of Below 4.6% at 11%. $417 traded in the last 24 hours, $344K in all.
- Favorite
- Below 4.7% 14%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $417
- Traded in all
- $344K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 15)
- Below 4.7%14%▼ 1
- Below 4.6%11%
- Below 4.5%6%
- Below 4.4%5%
- Below 4.3%4%▼ 0
- Below 4.1%3%
9 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:36 AM2:36 PM2:36 AM14% Below 4.7%
The line follows the current favorite, Below 4.7%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
