Kalshi
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Dec 2025 to Dec 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Below 36% at 72%, ahead of Below 35% at 39%. $469 traded in the last 24 hours, $240K in all.
- Favorite
- Below 36% 72%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $469
- Traded in all
- $240K
- Closes
- January 7, 2027
Every outcome
- Below 36%72%▼ 1
- Below 35%39%▲ 1
- Below 34%17%
- Below 33%10%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:34 AM4:34 PM4:34 AM72% Below 36%
The line follows the current favorite, Below 36%. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.