Polymarket
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 37% at 94%, ahead of 36% at 66%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $157K in all.
- Favorite
- 37% 94%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $157K
- Closes
- January 4, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- 37%94%
- 36%66%▲ 5
- 35%31%
- 34%11%▼ 4
- 30%5%▼ 0
- 25%4%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:42 AM6:42 PM6:42 AM94% 37%
The line follows the current favorite, 37%. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 35%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
