Polymarket
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 10-12 at 91%, ahead of 13-15 at 8%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $56K in all.
- Favorite
- 10-12 91%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $56K
Every outcome
- 10-1291%▼ 1
- 13-158%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:26 AM5:26 PM5:26 AM91% 10-12
The line follows the current favorite, 10-12. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
