Polymarket

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 8 at 62%, ahead of 9 at 30%. $169 traded in the last 24 hours, $1.7M in all.

Favorite
8 62%
24 hours
up 4 pts
Traded today
$169
Traded in all
$1.7M
Closes
January 1, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. 862%▲ 4
  2. 930%
  3. 104%▼ 2
  4. 121%
  5. 111%
  6. 131%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:01 PM1:01 AM1:01 PM62% 8

The line follows the current favorite, 8. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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