Polymarket
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 8 at 62%, ahead of 9 at 30%. $169 traded in the last 24 hours, $1.7M in all.
- Favorite
- 8 62%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $169
- Traded in all
- $1.7M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- 862%▲ 4
- 930%
- 104%▼ 2
- 121%
- 111%
- 131%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%1:01 PM1:01 AM1:01 PM62% 8
The line follows the current favorite, 8. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.