Kalshi

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?

2026 elections

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 9 or more at 95%, ahead of 10 or more at 87%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $66 in all.

Favorite
9 or more 95%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$66
Closes
December 31, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. 9 or more95%
  2. 10 or more87%
  3. 11 or more76%
  4. 12 or more67%
  5. 13 or more53%
  6. 14 or more38%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:04 AM9:04 PM9:04 AM95% 9 or more

The line follows the current favorite, 9 or more. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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