Kalshi
How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
2026 elections
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 9 or more at 95%, ahead of 10 or more at 87%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $66 in all.
- Favorite
- 9 or more 95%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $66
- Closes
- December 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- 9 or more95%
- 10 or more87%
- 11 or more76%
- 12 or more67%
- 13 or more53%
- 14 or more38%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:04 AM9:04 PM9:04 AM95% 9 or more
The line follows the current favorite, 9 or more. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.