Polymarket
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 400-500k at 68%, ahead of 500-600k at 12%. $204 traded in the last 24 hours, $129K in all.
- Favorite
- 400-500k 68%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $204
- Traded in all
- $129K
- Closes
- March 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- 400-500k68%▲ 2
- 500-600k12%▼ 1
- 300-400k9%▼ 1
- 200-300k3%
- <200k2%
- 800-900k2%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:24 AM5:24 PM5:24 AM68% 400-500k
The line follows the current favorite, 400-500k. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
