Kalshi
How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?
Before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 100 to 499 at 54%, ahead of 500 to 999 at 19%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- 100 to 499 54%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- 100 to 49954%
- 500 to 99919%
- 1000 or more14%
- 50 to 995%
- 25 to 491%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:06 AM8:06 PM8:06 AM54% 100 to 499
The line follows the current favorite, 100 to 499. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 42%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.