Kalshi
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
from January 1 to November 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above 20 at 97%, ahead of Above 25 at 95%. $662 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.
- Favorite
- Above 20 97%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $662
- Traded in all
- $16K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Above 2097%
- Above 2595%
- Above 3093%
- Above 3572%▼ 12
- Above 4059%▲ 2
- Above 4547%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:47 AM3:47 PM3:47 AM97% Above 20
The line follows the current favorite, Above 20. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
