Polymarket
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 4-6 at 98%, ahead of 7-9 at 2%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $98K in all.
- Favorite
- 4-6 98%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $98K
Every outcome
- 4-698%
- 7-92%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:44 AM3:44 PM3:44 AM98% 4-6
The line follows the current favorite, 4-6. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
