Kalshi
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
November 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 10 at 97%, ahead of At least 13 at 96%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $4K in all.
- Favorite
- At least 10 97%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $4K
- Closes
- December 15, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 11)
- At least 1097%
- At least 1396%
- At least 1693%
- At least 1991%
- At least 2289%
- At least 2582%
5 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:26 AM5:26 PM5:26 AM97% At least 10
The line follows the current favorite, At least 10. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.