Kalshi
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
Before 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 50 billion at 4%, ahead of At least 250 billion at 4%. $78 traded in the last 24 hours, $270K in all.
- Favorite
- At least 50 billion 4%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $78
- Traded in all
- $270K
- Closes
- March 31, 2027
Every outcome
- At least 50 billion4%▲ 1
- At least 250 billion4%
- At least 2 trillion4%
- At least 500 billion4%
- At least 750 billion3%
- At least 1 trillion3%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:43 AM6:43 PM6:43 AM4% At least 50 billion
The line follows the current favorite, At least 50 billion. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 35%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
