Kalshi
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
By 2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Below 7.60 at 83%, ahead of Below 7.50 at 60%. $8 traded in the last 24 hours, $48K in all.
- Favorite
- Below 7.60 83%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $8
- Traded in all
- $48K
- Closes
- May 17, 2029
Every outcome
- Below 7.6083%
- Below 7.5060%▼ 1
- Below 7.2538%
- Below 7.0028%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:17 AM6:17 PM6:17 AM83% Below 7.60
The line follows the current favorite, Below 7.60. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 33%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
