Polymarket
IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 9-12% at 22%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% at 20%. $208 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 9-12% 22%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $208
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 9-12%22%▲ 2
- Democrat 6-9%20%▼ 2
- Democrat 3-6%19%
- Republican 0-3%16%▲ 1
- Democrat 0-3%12%▼ 0
- Democrat 12-15%9%▲ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:18 AM6:18 PM6:18 AM22% Democrat 9-12%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 9-12%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
