Polymarket
IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 3-6% at 19%, ahead of Republican 0-3% at 18%. $540 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 3-6% 19%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $540
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 3-6%19%
- Republican 0-3%18%
- Democrat 0-3%16%
- Republican 6-9%15%▲ 1
- Republican 3-6%14%
- Democrat 9-12%6%▲ 3
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:11 AM7:11 PM7:11 AM19% Democrat 3-6%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 3-6%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
