Polymarket
IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 6-9% at 21%, ahead of Democrat 9-12% at 19%. $147 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 6-9% 21%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $147
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 6-9%21%▲ 1
- Democrat 9-12%19%▼ 2
- Democrat 3-6%17%▼ 2
- Democrat 0-3%14%
- Republican 0-3%13%▲ 3
- Republican 3-6%9%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:19 PM12:19 AM12:19 PM21% Democrat 6-9%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 6-9%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
