Polymarket
IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 30%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 24%. $444 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 15-20% 30%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $444
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 15-20%30%▼ 1
- Republican 10-15%24%▲ 3
- Republican 20-25%18%▼ 2
- Republican 5-10%12%▲ 4
- Republican 25-30%8%
- Republican 35%+6%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:04 AM9:04 PM9:04 AM30% Republican 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
