Polymarket
ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 35-40% at 25%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 24%. $161 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 35-40% 25%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $161
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 35-40%25%▲ 2
- Republican 25-30%24%▲ 6
- Republican 30-35%21%▼ 1
- Republican 40-45%14%▼ 1
- Republican 20-25%12%▼ 1
- Republican 10-20%7%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:29 AM5:29 PM5:29 AM25% Republican 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
