Polymarket
ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 33%, ahead of Republican 20-25% at 28%. $129 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 15-20% 33%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $129
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 15-20%33%▼ 0
- Republican 20-25%28%
- Republican 10-15%17%▲ 1
- Republican 30-35%12%
- Republican 25-30%9%
- Republican 5-10%5%▼ 1
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:36 AM10:36 PM10:36 AM33% Republican 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
