Polymarket
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 32%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% at 24%. $987 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 40-45% 32%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $987
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 40-45%32%▲ 4
- Democrat 45-50%24%
- Democrat 35-40%24%▼ 1
- Democrat 50-55%8%▼ 3
- Democrat 30-35%8%▲ 2
- Democrat 0-15%5%▲ 4
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM32% Democrat 40-45%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
