Polymarket
IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% at 26%. $180 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 40-45% 28%
- 24 hours
- down 3 pts
- Traded today
- $180
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 40-45%28%▼ 3
- Democrat 45-50%26%▼ 2
- Democrat 35-40%23%▼ 4
- Democrat 50-55%16%▼ 3
- Democrat 55-60%5%
- Democrat 20-30%5%▼ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:50 AM7:50 PM7:50 AM28% Democrat 40-45%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
