Polymarket
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 24%. $34 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 30-35% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $34
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 30-35%28%
- Democrat 35-40%24%▼ 2
- Democrat 40-45%17%▲ 1
- Democrat 45-50%11%▼ 4
- Democrat 55%+10%▲ 2
- Democrat 50-55%9%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:42 AM3:42 PM3:42 AM28% Democrat 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
