Polymarket
IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 33%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 32%. $100 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 33%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $100
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%33%▲ 2
- Democrat 50-55%32%▲ 2
- Democrat 40-45%14%▼ 1
- Democrat 55-60%10%▼ 0
- Democrat 35-40%10%
- Democrat 30-35%7%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM33% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
