Polymarket

IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 35%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 30%. $177 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 25-30% 35%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$177
Traded in all
$13K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrat 25-30%35%▲ 1
  2. Democrat 20-25%30%▼ 0
  3. Democrat 15-20%13%▲ 1
  4. Democrat 30-35%10%
  5. Democrat 35%+9%▲ 8
  6. Democrat 10-15%6%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:40 AM10:40 PM10:40 AM35% Democrat 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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