Polymarket
IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% at 26%. $178 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 31%
- 24 hours
- up 3 pts
- Traded today
- $178
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%31%▲ 3
- Democrat 40-45%26%▲ 1
- Democrat 55-60%16%
- Democrat 50-55%16%
- Democrat 35-40%10%▼ 2
- Democrat 20-30%4%▼ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:10 PM2:10 AM2:10 PM31% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
