Polymarket

IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 29%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 21%. $301 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 35-40% 29%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$301
Traded in all
$14K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 35-40%29%▼ 1
  2. Democrat 30-35%21%
  3. Democrat 25-30%16%▲ 3
  4. Democrat 40-45%14%▼ 1
  5. Democrat 20-25%10%
  6. Democrat 45-50%6%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:38 AM10:38 PM10:38 AM29% Democrat 35-40%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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