Polymarket
IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 29%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 21%. $301 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 29%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $301
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 35-40%29%▼ 1
- Democrat 30-35%21%
- Democrat 25-30%16%▲ 3
- Democrat 40-45%14%▼ 1
- Democrat 20-25%10%
- Democrat 45-50%6%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:38 AM10:38 PM10:38 AM29% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.