Polymarket

IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 35-40% at 29%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 24%. $465 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.

Favorite
Republican 35-40% 29%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$465
Traded in all
$13K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 35-40%29%▲ 1
  2. Republican 25-30%24%▲ 6
  3. Republican 30-35%21%▲ 2
  4. Republican 0-10%16%▲ 13
  5. Republican 45-50%16%▲ 3
  6. Republican 40-45%10%▼ 3

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:41 AM10:41 PM10:41 AM29% Republican 35-40%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 35-40%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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